Poker Draw Odds & Outs Table
Draw odds are the likelihood that you will improve your current hand and make a better one. To improve your hand, you need a specific card, suit or denomination to be drawn from the deck.
The table below shows the draw odds of making a particular hand based on the number of outs.
Outs | Flop to Turn | Turn to River | Turn or River |
---|---|---|---|
20 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 67.5% |
19 | 40.4% | 41.3% | 65.0% |
18 | 38.3% | 39.1% | 62.4% |
17 | 36.2% | 37.0% | 59.8% |
16 | 34.0% | 34.8% | 57.0% |
15 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 54.1% |
14 | 29.8% | 30.4% | 51.2% |
13 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 48.1% |
12 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 45.0% |
11 | 23.4% | 23.9% | 41.7% |
10 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 38.4% |
9 | 19.1% | 19.6% | 35.0% |
8 | 17.0% | 17.4% | 31.5% |
7 | 14.9% | 15.2% | 27.8% |
6 | 12.8% | 13.0% | 24.1% |
5 | 10.6% | 10.9% | 20.4% |
4 | 8.5% | 8.7% | 16.5% |
3 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 12.5% |
2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.4% |
1 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% |
How to Calculate Your Draw Odds
To calculate your draw odds:
- Count your outs
- Look up your draw odds in the table above based on what stage of the hand you are at
What is an Out?
An out is any card which will imporve your hand or make a target hand.
Counting Your Outs
To count your outs simply count all of the cards that will make the hand you are pursuing.
For example, imagine you are on a flush draw with four hearts in your hand:
Board Cards:
Hole Cards:
In this case there would be 9 hearts (outs) remaining in the in the deck to give you a flush. Remember there are thirteen cards in a suit, so this is easily worked out as 13 hearts in the deck – 4 hearts in your hand = 9 outs to make a flush.
Common Drawing Hands
This table shows your draw odds for a number of common drawing hands with examples.
Type of Draw | Hole Cards | The Flop | Specific Outs | # Outs |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pocket Pair to Set | 2 | |||
One Overcard | 3 | |||
Inside Straight Draw | 4 | |||
Two Pairs to Full House | 4 | |||
One Pair to Two Pair or Set | 5 | |||
No Pair to Pair | 6 | |||
Two Overcard to One Pair | 6 | |||
Set to Full House or Four of a Kind | 7 | |||
Open Ended Straight Draw | 8 | |||
Flush Draw | 9 | |||
Inside Straight Draw & Two Overcards | 10 | |||
Inside Straight Draw & Flush Draw | 12 | |||
Open Ended Straight & Flush Draw | 15 |
Don’t Count Outs Twice
The table above states that there are 15 outs when you have both a straight and flush draw. You might be wondering why it’s 15 outs and not 17 outs, since there are 8 outs to make a straight and 9 outs for a flush (8 + 9 = 17).
In the example in the table, the AH and the 9H will make a flush and a straight. Since you always use the best hand you have made in poker, these two cards do not make a straight, they make you a flush. Therefore we must not count these twice.
You must consider cards like this when counting your outs. Otherwise your drawing odds will not be correct.
Calculating your Draw Odds (Pure Math)
The odds table at the top of this page make it easy to calculate your draw odds. However, if you wish to understand the math to do it yourself, this section will explain it. Alternatively, use our Poker Odds Calculator and it will do all of the hard work for you.
1 Draw Card
To calculate your odds of making your hand on the next card to be drawn, i.e.:
- Flop to Turn
- Turn to River
You would do the following calculation:
For example lets say you have 4 hearts in your hand and the next card to be drawn is the turn:
Board Cards:
Hole Cards:
There are 9 remaining hearts (your outs)
There are 47 cards remaining in the deck. 52 cards in the deck minus your 2 hole card and the 3 cards you can see on the board (Note: you do not include your opponent's card because you do not know what they are).
In this example, the calculation would be:
Giving you 19.1% chance of making a flush on the turn.
2 Draw Cards
When you're on the flop and only need 1 card to make your hand, you have 2 chances of making your hand either on the turn or the river.
To calculate your odds of drawing the card you need on either the turn or the river you can use the following formula:
For example, if you have four hearts in your hand on the turn the calculation would be:
Board Cards:
Hole Cards:
As before, there are 9 hearts than can make our flush. When we are on the flop there are still 47 cards remaining in the deck.
Now, if we don't make a flush on the turn, there are still 9 hearts we can draw to make a flush but now there are only 46 cards remaining in the deck.
Our calculation is therefore:
Giving us a 34.96% probability of making a flush on either the turn or the river.
Calculating Your Draw Odds (Rule of thumb)
As we can see from the examples above, calculating draw odds is difficult.
A much easier method is the 4 and 2 method. In this method you simple multiple your outs by either 4 or 2 depending on whether your want your odds for the next card or the next 2 cards.
This method is not as precise as the pure math way but it will give you your approximate draw odds and you can calculate it in your head.
1 Draw Card
To calculate your draw odds on the next card (flop to turn, turn to river), you simply multiply your outs by 2
Using the same example as before:
Board Cards:
Hole Cards:
You have 9 outs to make a flush so your would do 9 * 2 = 18% chance of making a flush on the next card.
Note that this is a couple of percentage points out but it is close to the correct number of 19.1% and you can do this in your head.
2 Draw Cards
To calculate your of making your hand on either the turn or the river, you simply multiply your outs by 4
Using the same example as before:
Board Cards:
Hole Cards:
You have 9 outs to make a flush so your would do 9 * 4 = 36% chance of making a flush on either the turn or the river.
Again note that this is a couple of percentage points out. The pure math calculation would you 34.96%.